Sunday, July 15, 2012

Real estate market studies updated

Manier and Exton has updated our studies of the Middle Tennessee real estate market as of 7/14/2012.  Visit for more information.  For regular updates "Like" our Facebook page -

Saturday, July 7, 2012

Mortgage rates chart new depths

Rates on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) averaged 3.62 percent with an average 0.8 point for the week ending July 5, down from 3.66 percent last week and 4.60 percent a year ago, Freddie Mac said in releasing the results of its Primary Mortgage Market Survey. That's a new all-time low in Freddie Mac records dating to 1971.

Monday, February 20, 2012

Ben Bernanke Assesses the Housing Market

Ben Bernanke Assesses the Housing Market

On February 10, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke addressed the 2012 National Association of Homebuilders International Builders' Show in Orlando, Florida. His topic was the national housing market, including an analysis of where it stands and where it's going:

One way to understand conditions in the housing market is to focus on the balance of supply and demand. For the past few years, the actual and potential supply of single-family homes has greatly exceeded the effective demand. The elevated number of homes that are currently vacant instead of owner occupied reflects the imbalance. According to the most recent estimate, about 1-3/4 million homes are currently unoccupied and for sale. While this figure has declined slightly during the past few years, it is nonetheless up dramatically from the first half of the 2000s, when readings of about 1-1/4 million vacant homes were the norm. Of course, housing conditions vary by region, and vacancy rates in some locations are substantially higher than the national average....

Moreover, a very large number of additional homes are poised to come on the owner-occupied market. In each of the past few years, roughly 2 million homes have entered the foreclosure process, and many of these homes have been put up for sale, crowding out much of the need for new building. Looking ahead, the relatively high rate of foreclosures is likely to continue for a while, putting additional homes on the market and dislocating families and disrupting communities in the process.

At the same time, a number of factors are constraining demand. Household formation has been down, particularly among young adults. High unemployment and uncertain job prospects may have reduced the willingness of some households to commit to homeownership. Availability of mortgage credit is an important constraint, to which I will return later. Additionally, housing may no longer be viewed as the secure investment it once was thought to be, given uncertainty about future home prices and the economy more generally.
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To see a transcript of his remarks, in their entirety, go to:

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Manier and Exton updated their studies of the Middle Tennessee real estate market to include a 2011 year end analysis. Reports provide detailed information by neighborhood on change in prices, sales rates and inventories. Included is a detailed analysis of high priced homes. A new report looks at change in value based on price per square foot. See

Tuesday, January 3, 2012

Nashville-area office tenants signed on for more than 730,000 square feet of extra space in 2011, according to the fourth-quarter report by brokerage Cassidy Turley. That number — with the lion's share being split by the Central Business District, Brentwood and Cool Springs — was down a bit from 2010 but enough to push the region's vacancy rate to its lowest point in three years. (See the graph below.)
Cassidy Turley's prediction: Look for rents to rise in 2012, albeit rather slowly, and for developers to break ground on a number of projects.
There are some noteworthy positives on the industrial side of things as well:
• Companies absorbed more than 3.9 million square feet of space, the most since 2006. "This comes off the heels of a bleak 2009 and 2010, when the market took a nosedive and posted a combined total of negative 6.5 million SF."
• The upward leasing trend should continue in 2012, driven in part by the resurgent automotive sector. The Cassidy Turley pros say asking rents and landlord concessions should begin to stabilize — warehouse rents are down almost 8 percent since mid-year while vacancy rates haven't budged.